This international break is even less exciting than most, what with
just four competitive ties in Europe among pedestrian national sides,
World Cup qualifiers far in advance of the actual competition, and a
host of friendlies. The main benefit of the current hiatus is the
opportunity to assess Arsenal’s start to the season and the club’s
prospects.
Arsenal have played 12 matches in the Premier League
and return to action on Saturday with 26 points, the same as league
leaders Manchester City. Will the Gunners be there in May?
A more favorable feeling
Because
the dynamics of each campaign are different, obsessing over parallels
with seasons past isn’t especially productive. Still, there might be
lessons supporters and the players can draw from the 2013-14 league
season, for example, when Arsenal topped the table after 12 matches.
“The second half [of that season], we dropped,” left back Nacho Monreal told Arsenal Player.
“So we need to learn about that. The team is different now. We have
different players—more competitive. I think the level of the team is
better now.”
It’s hard to argue that point. The additions of
Alexis Sanchez and Petr Cech and the acclimatization of Mesut Özil
brought three game changers to the side; recruitment in the summer of
2014 gave the squad needed depth; and the emergence of Francis Coquelin
and Hector Bellerin added to the dynamism in the playing style.
Much has also been made of the team’s camaraderie and mindset. As Cech observed from his many successful seasons with Chelsea,
You
never win things without being focused, without being right in the
training ground. So far, I have to say that the team are focused on what
we are doing every day, and I have to say, this is the key.
The
results, at least in the League, provide the evidence. Arsenal have
what it takes to compete with the top sides. The 3-0 demolition of
Manchester United, still the team with the league’s best defensive
record, is a clear sign of the Gunners’ ability to dominate a match at
the summit.
They’ve also summoned the quality of winning when
they’re not at their best, such as the 2-1 victory over an energetic
Everton side, and have been able to grind out draws that in years past
may have turned into losses.
The sample size is small, but two
performances after taxing Champions League ties illustrate a possible
difference between the seasons. In 2013, Arsenal traveled to Germany,
endured the indefatigable pressing of Jürgen Klopp’s Borussia Dortmund
side, and escaped with a 1-0 win. Four days later, a drained Arsenal
team lost 1-0 to Manchester United at Old Trafford. This season, the
Arsenal team, exhausted by a 5-1 battering in Munich and seemingly
overwhelmed by illness, injury, and Mauricio Pochettino’s midfield
press, rallied to secure a 1-1 draw with Tottenham and finished that
match its more likely winners.
A comparison of results
Beyond such anecdotes, do the numbers indicate that this team has reached a higher level of competitiveness?
In
total, the 26 points from the first 12 matches (W8 D2 L2) is two fewer
than the Arsenal of 2013-14 compiled over the similar opening period.
The difference, really, is that of one draw in 2015 that was a win in
2013.
Given the strength of the two schedules, though, that’s a
good outcome. At this point in the 2013 campaign, the median position of
the Gunners’ first 12 league opponents was 11.5; this season, it’s 9.5.
Indeed, in 2013, nine of Arsenal’s first 12 opponents found themselves in the 11th to 20th
league positions after 12 matches. Arsenal won seven of those nine
matches, drew one (at West Bromwich Albion), and lost one, the opener
against Aston Villa. That’s a total of 22 of 28 points, or 79 percent,
from matches against the league’s poorer sides.
Among the first 12
opponents this season, by contrast, only five occupied a bottom-half
spot after 12 matches. Arsenal won four of those matches and lost one
(at Chelsea), amassing 12 of 26 points, or 46 percent, against teams
below the current league midpoint.
The majority of Arsenal’s
points, then, have come against teams in the top half of the league.
There have been two decisive victories against teams in the top four,
two wins and two draws against teams in positions five through 10, and
the opening day loss to West Ham, currently sixth in the table.
In
short, although the points total is slightly lower this season, the
results are more encouraging, considering the competition.
Relative performance to date
How do these early results look in comparison to those of the other main title contenders?
The
degree of difficulty in Manchester City’s schedule has been much lower
than Arsenal’s, yet City haven’t accumulated any more points. The median
league position of its opponents after 12 matches is 12.0.
They’ve played every team in the bottom six except 19th-ranked
Sunderland and built their goal differential advantage with a five-goal
win over Newcastle (#17) and a four-goal win over Bournemouth (#18).
At
this point, the other main challenger for the title appears to be
Manchester United. They’ve amassed 24 points from their first 12
matches, against opponents with a median position of 9.5. That’s
identical to Arsenal’s strength of schedule.
The breakdown of
matches against top-four opponents, those in positions five through 10,
and those in the bottom half of the table is identical for Arsenal and
Manchester United. The performance gap between the two is small, but so
far Arsenal have fared better against the top four, winning two and
losing none to Manchester United’s one draw and one loss.
Other
statistics, such as expected goals (xG) and the difference between
expected goals for and against, put Arsenal squarely in contention for
the Premier League title.
The preliminary conclusion
More
than two thirds of the season remains, and developments both
foreseeable and unforeseeable will influence the final outcome. Health,
particularly of Özil, Alexis, Coquelin, and Santi Cazorla, is probably
the most important factor.
Injuries and other factors may favor
the Gunners in ways they haven't in years past, or they may not. It’s
that unpredictability that drives interest in sporting endeavors.
The
most we can therefore do is give a “qualified yes” answer to the
question “Is this Arsenal’s year?” Anything more definitive would just
ruin the fun anyway.
Arsenal fought back from a goal down to secure a 1-1 draw with Tottenham in the 161st installment of the North London Derby.
Mesut
Özil again provided the crucial pass, finding substitute Kieran Gibbs
with a cross at the far post. Gibbs got enough of the ball to bundle it
past Spurs keeper Hugo Lloris, negating Harry Kane’s first half strike
for Spurs and Tottenham’s superiority during the middle section of the
match.
Here are three things we learned from the contest.
Arsenal now have the players to deliver the points
Although
Spurs controlled much of the play, Arsenal had enough quality to make
the key moments count. Özil and goalkeeper Petr Cech, players with
international pedigree, exerted their influence at the right times to
prevent defeat.
The German playmaker delivered an assist in his sixth consecutive league game and his 10th
in 11 league appearances. The former is an unprecedented feat for a
player on one Premier League team. His assist total could have been even
higher, but for some slightly wayward finishing by striker Olivier
Giroud. Overall, Özil created seven chances for teammates, according to
the FourFourTwo StatsZone app.
Arsenal manager Arsène Wenger
hailed his silky midfielder’s progress and contribution after the match.
“He was outstanding again,” said Wenger.
“He has grown into a very great player as he has added commitment,
leadership qualities, and responsibility, and I’m very pleased with his
development.”
Another experienced hand earned widespread praise
for keeping the Gunners in this match. Cech had to stop goal-bound shots
by Christian Ericksen and Toby Alderweireld in the match’s third
quarter; otherwise, Arsenal would have trailed by two goals with little
prospect of recovery.
The save of Alderweireld’s shot was
especially important. The Spurs’ defender got himself free to receive a
corner kick and directed a strong header at goal. Cech’s positioning and
reflexes were exactly what they needed to be for the moment; this
intervention gave Arsenal the chance of equalizing.
As Wenger put it,
“He has shown again how important he is and that maybe goalkeeper is
maybe the most underrated position in football, because there is a
moment he can keep you in it. If you go 2-0 down, it’s bye-bye.”
Thanks to Cech and Özil, Arsenal did not have to depart this match with nothing.
A depleted Arsenal can survive—and nearly thrive
The
Arsenal injury list consisted of seven players, three starters among
them, prior to the match. That was actually a slight improvement from
earlier in the week, due to the returns of Laurent Koscielny and Mikel
Arteta to the squad.
But the strain was still significant.
Midfielder Santi Cazorla, whose partnerships with Özil and Francis
Coquelin are so important to the team’s flow and defensive solidity, was
suffering from dizziness and nausea and could hardly kick the ball
straight. Wenger replaced him at halftime.
Offensive dynamo Alexis
doesn’t seem right, either. He’s been playing with some combination of a
groin strain and fatigue for a month, and his knack for goals has left
him.
Right back Mathieu Debuchy, himself a replacement for the
injured Hector Bellerin, took a knock in the second half and had to come
off just after the Gibbs goal. As a result, the team spent the ultimate
period of the match with Mathieu Flamini, inserted for Cazorla in
midfield, at right back and Gibbs at left wing.
Yet this ragtag
bunch looked the more likely winners in the end, even though Spurs had
fielded its first-choice lineup playing to the top of its capabilities.
That’s an indication of this team’s desire and potential.
Mathieu Debuchy should stop talking
Anyone
who pays the slightest attention to Arsenal knows that Mathieu Debuchy
is dissatisfied. The Frenchman suffered the misfortune of two long-term
injuries last season, his first at the club, and encountered the
emergence of the phenom Hector Bellerin. As a result, Debuchy, who wants
a spot on the French national team for the European Championships on
home soil next summer, found himself on the Arsenal bench.
When
Debuchy has gotten the opportunities to regain his place, he hasn’t made
the most of them. To a certain extent, that’s understandable: It’s hard
for many professional athletes to perform at their best with sporadic
playing time.
But rather than knuckling down and improving his
performances, Debuchy has made strong public hints of his desire to
leave Arsenal for playing time elsewhere. That’s not optimal public
relations work from a player who’s been involved in the team’s worst
outings this year. To use a term from hockey, Debuchy has a plus/minus
of minus-9, capturing the losses to West Ham, Dinamo Zagreb, and Bayern
Munich.
A better approach than voicing his discontents would be to
capitalize on the slight progress he made on Sunday. Debuchy succeeded
on nine of 10 tackles and displayed an improved awareness of his
position relative to those of his teammates. He’ll need to show
improvements like these when he gets further opportunities if he’s going
to catch the eyes of any suitors or French manager Didier Deschamps.
Extra time
Francis
Coquelin does not surrender. With his comrade Santi Cazorla playing at
peak peaked, Coquelin was practically alone in Arsenal midfield as
Tottenham pressed. The Frenchman held his own, making nine ball
recoveries, tied for most in the match, and succeeding on six of eight
tackles. He also committed no fouls. Without Coquelin’s clever, stalwart
play, Spurs would likely have enjoyed a comprehensive and
insurmountable advantage.
Bayern Munich swamped Arsenal 5-1 on Wednesday, putting the Gunners’
hopes of qualifying for the Champions League knockout phase for the 16th consecutive season in considerable doubt.
With
Bayern’s dominant, three-goal first half, this result was foregone by
halftime. The night’s meaningful question was what would happen in
Athens, where Olympiacos trailed Dinamo Zagreb and gave the Gunners hope
that they might still control their European destiny.
Olympiacos
scored late to win, though, meaning Arsenal must win its final two
matches, including at least a two-goal win on the group stage’s last
night in Athens, and trust Bayern to beat the Greek team, to move on.
That’s the big conclusion of the night. Here are three other things we learned.
Arsène Wenger has the Premier League in his sights
The
Arsenal manager invariably speaks about his focus on the next game and
how it’s the most important. There was a hint of something else prior to
this match, though.
Wenger kept star defenders Laurent Koscielny
and Hector Bellerin out of Wednesday’s action, allowing them to recover
from “small” injuries in advance of a major Premier League test against
Tottenham on Sunday.
That decision is worth noting.
It
suggests the manager and his staff sense an opportunity to compete for
the league title and that they’re willing to put the European campaign
aside to enhance that domestic opportunity. Doing so requires wisdom and
restraint, particularly because Wenger has long coveted the top
European trophy.
No doubt he expected a less damning result in
Munich, but as long as he and his players can put it in the vault, this
continental setback won’t be any more consequential for their league
prospects than was the 3-2 loss to Olympiacos. We shouldn’t forget that
that defeat immediately preceded Arsenal’s 3-0 destruction of Manchester
United.
The first goal was the killer
The
early moments of the game were actually promising for Arsenal. The
Gunners had a shot in anger in the opening minute, passed crisply when
they had the ball, and forced Bayern into shots from distance.
Hope of another upset was largely snuffed out by Robert Lewandowski’s 10th-minute
header. The Polish striker slipped the attentions of Gabriel, who was
alone among the Arsenal back line in dropping deep when Thiago had the
ball near the right corner of Arsenal’s penalty area. Lewandowski’s
well-placed effort gave Arsenal goalkeeper Petr Cech no chance.
This
early goal meant Arsenal could not absorb the Bayern pressure as the
Gunners had so successfully done two weeks ago. They had to seek a tying
goal, creating the space and time on the ball that Bayern was designed
to exploit. The only question was how ruthlessly they would do so.
Having
lost to Arsenal, the German giants weren’t inclined to let up. That
intensity—plus Arsenal’s sub-par defensive effort and ill fortune with
officiating—sealed the Gunners fate on the day.
Arsenal’s first-choice defense is a well-oiled machine
Replacing
Bellerin with Mathieu Debuchy and Koscielny with Gabriel shrank
Arsenal’s margin of error. Indeed, the changes caused enough instability
for Bayern’s talent to thrive.
A poorly synchronized back line
left Lewandowski onside for the opening goal, and Debuchy’s tendency to
drift into the center gave Bayern’s dangerous wide men the run of their
left flank. The Frenchman wasn’t even effective at clogging the middle,
failing to clear a pass that then fell to Thomas Müller, who fired off
Per Mertesacker and into the net for Bayern’s second goal.
On
Arsenal’s left, Bayern finally found a way to isolate left back Nacho
Monreal, using runners from midfield to occupy Arsenal’s central
midfielders Francis Coquelin and Santi Cazorla. This often left Monreal
trying to cover two men on his own, Philipp Lahm and Müller or
substitute Arjen Robben, because left forward Alexis was understandably
focused on attacking. As a result, Bayern always had an outlet and
frequently produced uncontested passes into more dangerous areas.
It
was quite a contrast from the defensive performances Arsenal’s
preferred lineup has delivered this season. The unit of Cech, Bellerin,
Mertesacker, Koscielny, and Monreal has won all of its matches while
conceding just three goals, one at Crystal Palace and two at Leicester
City. Crucially, though, the group has played together in just five of
Arsenal’s 17 matches in the Premier League, Champions League, and
Capital One Cup.
The ability to field that unit consistently might well determine Arsenal’s fortunes in the Premier League.
Extra time
Fair
play to Mathieu Debuchy and Olivier Giroud, who kept plugging despite
the obvious outcome of this match. Debuchy scampered back to rob Robben
of a goal after the Dutchman had rounded Cech, and Giroud produced an
exquisite chest control and lashing finish. Such moments were all the
more noticeable because they were rare.
Arsenal confront an apparently enraged Bayern Munich in Germany on Matchday Four of the UEFA Champions League.
The
Gunners’ 2-0 win over the previously omnipotent side two weeks ago
seems to have stirred up Pep Guardiola’s charges. Star striker Robert
Lewandowski, who had two goal-bound shots saved by Arsenal’s Petr Cech
at the Emirates, said, “We desperately need the points. We have to show who is the better team.”
Bayern’s
motivation isn’t lost on Arsenal. According to Per Mertesacker, who
likely enjoys some back-channel communications with several compatriots
in the Bavarian side, “They will be angry I guess. We are the first team
who really challenged them, so they will be on the ball and try to show
that they are back and better than us.” (Arsenal.com)
There’s
no question of Bayern’s quality. They’re the Bundesliga’s juggernaut
and one of the two best teams in Europe. Guardiola has skillfully mixed
the experience of players like Philipp Lahm and Xabi Alonso with the
guile of Douglas Costa and Arjen Robben and the firepower of Thomas
Müller and Lewandowki.
Arsenal witnessed the threat in Matchday
Three, but the Gunners did not cower. Bayern’s skill in and dominance of
possession failed to carry the day. That’s largely because Arsenal
stayed disciplined in defense, forced Bayern to pass around the
perimeter, and intervened only at the most opportune moments.
It’s
likely to be the same approach at the Allianz Arena, perhaps with a
slight variation. If Bayern let too much emotion affect their style and
decisions, they’ll be vulnerable to a martial arts-style response from
Arsenal. Frustrate them for another period of time, and they might be
more prone to mistakes. Particularly on set pieces.
Arsenal also
can’t allow changes in personnel to affect the proceedings too much. A
different Gunner will have to summon the energy and intelligence of
Aaron Ramsey on the right side of midfield. That’s especially important
given the wide threat posed by Costa and Robben, who missed the London
leg due to injury.
Arsenal manager Arsène Wenger may rejigger the
midfield, bringing in Mathieu Flamini as part of a 4-3-3 formation, but a
more likely choice will be to replace Ramsey with Joel Campbell. The
Costa Rican had an excellent Premier League debut at Swansea on
Saturday, scoring the team’s third goal and displaying a keen will for
defending. He’ll have to match that performance—if not improve
it—against Bayern.
As if facing Bayern’s wide men weren’t enough
of a challenge, Campbell will have to manage the threat with a different
right back. Due to Hector Bellerin’s groin injury, Mathieu Debuchy will
get the start. The French international has the pedigree to compete in
such a headline game; the question is his form. His performances so far
this season, including in last week’s Capital One Cup loss at Sheffield
Wednesday, have been rusty and unimpressive, to put it charitably. For
Arsenal to stay in this contest, Debuchy will have to rise to a very big
occasion.
At stake is the Gunners’ control over their own
Champions League fate. Escaping Munich with a draw would mean Arsenal
could qualify for the knockout phase with wins in their final two
matches, regardless of the other results. A win would put them in even
better position, level on points with Bayern and holding the
head-to-head tiebreaker advantage.
Losing tonight, though, would
hand the initiative to Olympiacos. If the Greek team beats Dinamo Zagreb
in Athens this evening, a draw against Bayern in two weeks would secure
passage to the knockout stage and destroy Arsenal’s chances of
progressing.
There’s still a lot of football to be played and
therefore a variety of possible outcomes in the competition. But those
outcomes will look a lot more promising if Arsenal avoid losing this
evening.
Players to Watch:
Arsenal: Olivier Giroud. Arsenal’s
center forward changed the complexion of the match at the Emirates,
winning the physical battles with Bayern’s central defenders and scoring
the decisive goal. The Frenchman, who has six goals in his last six
matches for club and country, has also scored at the Allianz Arena
before. Another opportunistic goal would strengthen the Gunners
immeasurably.
Bayern Munich: Arjen Robben. You
can’t take your eyes off that pointy, bald head anyway, so you might as
well watch the Dutchman. Although everyone knows his signature move,
he’s so quick and wily he’s still difficult to stop. Debuchy and/or
Nacho Monreal, and importantly, the assistance they get from Arsenal’s
midfielders and forwards, will be sorely tested.
Arsenal emerged 3-0 winners over Swansea City in a match suitably bizarre for the day.
Although
the Gunners looked out of it for most of the first half, second-half
goals from Olivier Giroud, Laurent Koscielny, and Joel Campbell secured
the victory. Koscielny's goal, prompted by a borderline foul on/error by
Swans and former Arsenal goalkeeper Lukasz Fabianski, and the score by
Campbell in his first Premier League start were oddly fitting on
Halloween.
Here are three things we learned from the match.
Mesut Özil is the Premier League's most dangerous man
We're
still early in the Premier League campaign, but it's becoming clear
that Arsenal's playmaker and record signing can push the Gunners to
contend for the title. In the 10 matches Özil has played, he's tallied
nine assists and created 47 chances, according to Squawka.
As 7AM Kickoff has pointed out in his "By the Numbers"
articles for Arseblog, Özil has a real chance to deliver more than 20
assists this season. He's on an unreal pace of 0.96 assists per 90
minutes so far.
He picked up two more assists on Saturday, finding
Giroud with a corner in the 49th minute, then working an intricate move
with Alexis Sanchez on the left before fizzing a pass across the box to
Campbell for the final Arsenal goal.
Özil also started the
sequence that led to Koscielny's goal. When no Swansea player closed him
down on Arsenal's right, he spotted the chaos in the Swansea penalty
area and sent in the cross that Ashley Williams failed to clear
properly. Fabianski, Giroud, and Koscielny were all waiting for the ball
to come down, and Koscielny came away with it.
At the source of
all these passages were Özil's ability to recognize the way to cause
Swansea the most danger and the skill to execute the decisive play. It's
a deadly combination.
Joel Campbell keeps the balance
A
major question leading up to the match addressed the right attacking
midfield position in Arsenal's 4-2-3-1 formation. With six more likely
candidates for that role injured, manager Arsène Wenger gave a league
debut to Campbell, who, despite some credible performances on loan and
on international duty, had never shown he could reach the level required
at Arsenal.
Campbell's calm finish, if not his celebration,
certainly showed he belonged, but more than that, he slotted seamlessly
into the existing Arsenal framework.
The Costa Rican helped move
the attack forward, exchanging tidy passes with right back Hector
Bellerin and the central midfielders. With Swansea understandably
focusing on the threat Alexis posed on Arsenal's left, Campbell proved
willing to take a shot when he had a sight of goal.
He also
hustled to reach the right defensive positions. That was especially
important due to the danger posed by the tricky Swansea winger Jefferson
Montero. Although Montero caused a few nervous moments, Bellerin and
Campbell managed the threat admirably.
Meanwhile, the rest of the
Arsenal team could proceed as normal. In light of the successful recent
performances, allowing his teammates to stick to their roles and
strengths was Campbell's most important contribution.
Arsenal can survive risks and wobbles
This was as shaky a 3-0 victory as you're likely to see.
Particularly
in the first half, Arsenal seemed vulnerable. The choice to use a high
defensive line seemed overly risky given Montero's wiliness, the ability
of Jonjo Shelvy and Ki Sung-Yeung to pick a pass, and the Gunners'
struggles against Swansea last season.
The high line nearly proved
calamitous midway through the first half, when Shelvy found Bafetimi
Gomis and sent the striker clean through on Petr Cech's goal. Only the
experience of Cech and the speed of Bellerin prevented Arsenal from
going 1-0 down.
Giroud's goal early in the second half steadied
things somewhat, but, even then, Arsenal made some odd choices. The
defense was less coordinated and diligent than you'd expect from a team
looking to protect a lead and counterattack. A few times Swansea players
found space just outside the Arsenal area and took a crack at goal or
nearly worked a teammate free.
Still, Swansea managed just eight
shots on goal and only two in the penalty area. When the three Swans'
shots did work Cech, he was more than ready.
The sixth clean sheet
in 11 league matches--and the lowest number of goals conceded in the
league--are evidence of the stability Cech has brought to the Arsenal
defense.
Extra time
Hector Bellerin doesn't
just have a future; he has a present. As one-half of the league's best
fullback tandem, the young Spaniard has brought quick interventions,
sound positioning, and a real offensive threat to Arsenal's right side.
Against
Swansea, he figuratively busted a gut to prevent Gomis from scoring and
later literally busted one, throwing himself into the post to clear
André Ayew's offside effort off the line.
Bellerin's contributions already and his clear talent warrant a long-term contract.
A Halloween trip to South Wales should be a scary enough prospect for Arsenal.
Swansea
City have sent shivers down Gunners’ spines under current Swans boss
Garry Monk, who took over in February 2014. Monk has an undefeated
record against Arsenal, having won both league encounters last season
and drawn the match at the Emirates in March 2014.
That recent
record is just one ominous sign for the fraidy-cats among Arsenal
supporters. They’re also trepidacious about the prospect of fielding an
ill-equipped attacker on the right side due to the injuries of six
first-team players capable of playing that position. With Aaron Ramsey,
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain, Danny Welbeck, Jack Wilshere, Theo Walcott, and
Tomas Rosicky all out, manager Arsène Wenger has hinted that he’ll
choose between Joel Campbell and Alex Iwobi.
The thinking here is
that Campbell will get the nod. The Costa Rican international has at
least some pedigree at the senior level and the defensive experience to
help right back Hector Bellerin cope with Swansea’s tricky winger
Jefferson Montero.
Although Swansea’s recent success against
Arsenal and the instability at one position figure prominently in the
pre-match horror stories, the prospects might not be that frightening
after all. That’s because Swansea have struggled to create a consistent
offensive threat.
Yes, the Swans famously came from a goal down to
beat Manchester United in late August. But since then, they’ve won just
one of six league matches. In that stretch, they’ve been held scoreless
by Stoke, Everton, and Watford.
As Adrian Clarke noted in this week’s Official Arsenal Weekly podcast,
Stoke stifled Swansea by funneling their hosts’ attacks to the center
of the pitch. From there, the Swans could not generate anything
incisive. They put just two shots on target of the 14 they attempted.
Swansea’s
inefficiency grew out of the source of their shots: nine of the 14 came
from outside the penalty area. That’s consistent with the team’s
choices and production throughout this league campaign, during which
they’ve taken 67 of 131 shots (51 percent) from outside the area. Only
Watford has tried a higher proportion of shots from that inefficient
part of the pitch. (Stats from whoscored.com)
Given
the provenance of these attempts on goal, it’s perhaps not surprising
that Swansea have scored just nine non-penalty goals on their own. Two
penalties and an own goal take the total to 12.
By contrast,
Arsenal have netted 16 goals, none from penalties and two from
opposition own goals. The secret has been a heightened focus on shooting
from dangerous areas: According to Squawka,
the Gunners’ 142 shots from within the penalty area (of 197 total
shots) lead the league and are 27 percent higher than shots from similar
positions by Manchester City, which ranks second.
This set of
statistics shows how Arsenal can survive a visit to the Liberty
Stadium—maintain defensive discipline, force Swansea’s dangerous wide
attackers André Ayew and Montero into the middle, and continue to take
high-quality shots on goal.
Players to Watch
Arsenal: Francis Coquelin. If
Arsenal succeed at directing Swansea’s attack to the center of the
pitch, Coquelin will be the player to stop the moves and start Arsenal’s
offense. His distribution has improved greatly this season (see 7AM Kickoff), so that the creative geniuses of Mesut Özil and Santi Cazorla have been able to shine.
Swansea City: Ki Sung-yueng. Ayew
is the Swans’ top goal scorer, but the Korean midfielder seems the
side’s most influential player. He adds control, energy, and the right
passing choices to the mix and will be crucial to the contest in the
midfield.
Headed goals separated by 90 seconds by Oliver Giroud and Laurent
Koscielny and another late save from Petr Cech secured Arsenal's
hard-fought 2-1 win over Everton.
Although the Gunners enjoyed
more possession and created more danger than the Toffees, the
indigestion was still there among Arsenal supporters as the visitors
came close several times to drawing level. Stout defending saw off the
challenge and sent Arsenal, perhaps temporarily, to the top of the
Premier League table.
Here are three things we learned from the match.
This Arsenal side can dig deep
Arsenal's
third intense match in a week's time required considerable fortitude.
The conditions were unpleasant, to say the least. Rain made the ball
slick and the pitch slow.
Everton played with the energy and
intent of a team with something to prove after the 3-0 home defeat to
Manchester United last week. Their physical and mental readiness wasn't
affected by midweek European action, either.
The Gunners,
meanwhile, were four days removed from a grueling, emotional win over
Bayern Munich, which came after a patient but taxing victory at Watford.
Arsenal
showed the effects of this schedule--the fullback pair of Hector
Bellerin and Nacho Monreal in particular seemed to flag--but in the
moments that mattered, the concentration and performance reached a high
level.
Central defenders Koscielny and Gabriel were especially
effective during critical passages of play, intercepting threatening
passes for Everton striker Romelu Lukaku. We'll not soon forget
Gabriel's late tackle away from the Belgian and primal scream that
showed his desire to finish the job.
The intervention of Cech was
also crucial. His 86th-minute scamper to block Gerard Deulofeu's open
shot prevented the dangerous but divey Spaniard from yet again snatching
a point for his team at the Emirates.
A goalkeeper with that kind of focus must provide both an example and confidence for the rest of the team.
Cazözil is a distinctively spectacular midfield combination
Maybe
this match didn't teach us about the skill and influence of Arsenal's
two midfield geniuses. Most knowledgeable supporters and observers
already recognized the special qualities of Santi Cazorla and Mesut
Özil.
Against Everton the duo's mastery was on full display.
Each
notched an assist with perfect passes into the dangerous area in front
of Tim Howard's goal. Those were two of the ten key passes, five each,
that Cazorla and Özil made during the match.
That's strong
evidence of their incisiveness. In the attacking third, Cazorla
completed 28 of 33 passes (85 percent), while Özil connected on 30 of 34
(88 percent). Unbelievable efficiency in the most crowded part of the
pitch.
The pair also worked together to propel Arsenal forward.
According to FourFourTwo's StatsZone app, Cazorla and Özil were involved
in the match's two top passing combinations, finding each other a total
of 36 times.
The offensive flow that Arsenal achieves owes to the influence of these two remarkable players.
Arsenal's match management is a work in progress
It's
a test of the physical, mental, and psychological, individually and
collectively, to succeed consistently at the high level at which Arsenal
competes. Naturally, the players and the team don't earn perfect grades
on every such examination.
On Saturday, Arsenal showed it has
room for improvement in managing the dynamics of a match. Instead of
consolidating its lead by placing priority on defense just before
halftime, the Gunners kept moving forward. A perhaps ill-advised shot by
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain helped Everton launch a dangerous
counterattack, from which an unlucky deflection brought Ross Barkley's
goal.
The thought could have been to score a third goal before the
break in order to demoralize Everton and put the game beyond much
doubt. But the risk associated with that decision, especially against a
team so effective in open spaces as Everton, probably outweighed the
reward.
What's encouraging is that the lesson did not prove
damaging. And the match showed Arsenal's capacity for another type of
victory.
Extra time
If
Arsenal add set-piece goals to the repertoire, they'll be devastating.
The Gunners have three goals from corners, crosses and throw-ins in this
Premier League season, half as many as the top performers in that
category, Leicester City, West Ham, and Crystal Palace. (Stats from Opta
via Squawka.com)
We know how effective the Gunners can be on the
counterattack, with intricate passing moves, and with individual moments
of brilliance. The high expected goals stats are evidence of that.
Delivering more set-piece goals would make Arsenal a diversified, and
difficult to stop, offensive force.