Arsenal dominated 10-man Newcastle on Saturday but needed a Fabricio
Coloccini own goal to secure a 1-0 victory at St. James’ Park.
A
speedy attacking lineup, featuring Theo Walcott and Alex
Oxlade-Chamberlain, struggled to provide much more excitement than the
more conventional group that had started the scoreless draw with
Liverpool. The lack of stimulation largely resulted from Newcastle’s
defensive stance after the 15th-minute red card to striker Aleksandar Mitrovic.
His
expulsion and Arsenal’s long numerical advantage make it hard to draw
any broad conclusions from the match. Still, we learned a few things
about Arsenal; here are three.
Arsenal cede possession only in extraordinary circumstances
In
the first 15 minutes of the match, Arsenal posed a real threat,
primarily because Newcastle were aggressive offensively. When they
weren’t committing fouls in an effort to win back the ball quickly, the
home side sent players forward and presented Arsenal with the space to
pass and move.
This dynamic changed with the Mitrovic red card.
Newcastle then retreated, allowing Arsenal freedom over three quarters
of the pitch and clogging the final quarter with ten defenders. Arsenal
had two basic choices in this situation:
- Control possession and try to pick apart the Newcastle defense
- Cede a bit of the possession and exploit the space Newcastle had left open
It’s
not a surprise that Arsenal chose option #1. It capitalizes on the
Gunners’ quickness of passing and thought and is the less risky choice.
The
problem is that it requires extreme precision because the opposition
can foil the attack with proper determination and positioning. Those
qualities have proven Newcastle’s strengths early in the season, for
example in the excellent rear-guard action against Manchester United at
Old Trafford the previous week.
Option #2 would have been a
riskier proposition. Imagine the outcry—“We were up a man! Why did we
let them have so much of the ball?!?”—especially if Newcastle had used
the possession allowed them to threaten the Arsenal goal. For that
reason, we witnessed the familiar sight of Arsenal making short passes
from side to side around the Newcastle penalty area.
And the
exceptions to that rule, such as those we saw at Manchester City and
West Ham in the 2014-15 season, will continue to stand out.
Theo Walcott’s days on the right are over
Walcott got the nod over Olivier Giroud as Arsenal’s starting center forward, which manager Arsène Wenger explained had anticipated a different approach from Newcastle:
I
expected more space for Theo Walcott. At the start, it looked quite
promising, but after 15 minutes, it was a different problem for us.
There was no space behind their defenders, the service through their
lines was very difficult, and they defended well.
Walcott had two good looks at goal, failed to convert either of them, and did not get involved much otherwise.
But
this isn’t about Walcott as a center forward. If he was struggling
there, Oxlade-Chamberlain was just as ineffective on the right side of
Arsenal’s attack. His touch seemed off, his passes went awry, and his
efforts to win back the ball were halfhearted. Oxlade-Chamberlain failed
both his take-on attempts, completed only 89 percent of his passes
compared with the team’s 92 percent rate, and made only one tackle and
one interception.
Under those circumstances, a plausible move
would have been to introduce Giroud and move Walcott right. Walcott’s
minimal defensive contribution wouldn’t have caused major issues because
Newcastle wasn’t attacking much and Hector Bellerin was putting in a
solid performance at right back. His quickness and knack for a cross
could have opened the Newcastle defense in a different way from the
right.
Wenger’s decision, though, was to substitute Giroud for
Walcott after 70 minutes. That’s a hint that Walcott’s three-year
campaign to play center forward has been successful, but at the price of
any involvement on the right side.
No one is making a strong case to lead the Arsenal line
This
might be an obvious point about an attacking contingent that’s scored
just once in four matches. It’s worth emphasizing, because despite
Arsenal’s improved shooting accuracy against Newcastle, it was still
found wanting.
After three matches in which only 30 percent of
Arsenal’s shots were on goal, the team got nine of 22 on frame in
Newcastle. That’s a 40 percent rate of accuracy. Many lacked conviction,
though, with Walcott’s two first-half attempts and Giroud’s late lob
job standing out as especially weak.
Walcott and Giroud were the
top candidates for the striker role entering the season, and neither has
made the position his own. Will Wenger keep faith in the pair, give
Danny Welbeck a shot when he returns from injury, or move Alexis to the
tip of the attack? All seem reasonable options given the trends.
Unless,
of course, all evidence to the contrary, Mr. World-Class Striker
appears at Arsenal’s London Colney training ground by 1800h GMT on
Tuesday, the close of the transfer window.
Extra Time: This is what happens when referees respond properly to bullying tactics
There’s
no more irritating sight in sport than a manager fulminating against
referees when his own team’s illegal acts are called out. Newcastle’s
Steve McLaren is the latest culprit. He gesticulated, grew more
red-faced than normal, and later complained to the media about the red
card and the six other cautions issued his team by referee Andre
Marriner. But any observer not bloodthirsty saw that the deliberate
aggression was rightly punished.
Arsenal’s visit to Newcastle United on Saturday will challenge the Gunners to get unblocked in front of goal.
The
major similarity between this campaign’s first three matches and
previous seasons’ starts has been the Gunners' ineffectiveness in front
of goal. In general, Arsenal have been much more active offensively,
taking 61 shots. (As 7AM Kickoff points out here, Arsenal have the highest shot total of any club in a top-five European league.)
A
substantial majority of those shots (41) has come from within the
opposition penalty area; that’s more dangerous shooting than Arsenal
have produced during the first three matches of any of the past five
seasons, according to the FourFourTwo StatsZone app. The overall result
has been 18 shots on goal in three matches, a high absolute number by
the standards of the past five seasons' starts.
The problem is
Arsenal’s low proportion of shots on frame. By managing just 30 percent
of shots on goal in its first three matches, the team has, for the fifth
time in the past six seasons, failed to put more than 35 percent of its
shots on target. By contrast, over the full 2014-15 season, Arsenal put
37 of its shots on goal.
Newcastle is a tricky opponent under
these circumstances. The Magpies have allowed 53 shots in three matches,
with 18 of those (34 percent) on goal; they’ve blocked 19 shots (36
percent), including eight last weekend when they held Manchester United
to a 0-0 draw at Old Trafford.
Given this dynamic, Arsenal manager
Arsène Wenger may make some changes to his attacking lineup. He has the
speedy options of Theo Walcott and Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain to unsettle
the Newcastle defense, which has been already troubled by the quickness
of Swansea’s Jefferson Montero and Manchester United’s Memphis DePay.
Wenger
could also add some zest from the midfield in recognition that
Newcastle have not presented much of a scoring threat: Their 25 shots
rank lowest in the Premier League. This might tempt Wenger to move Aaron
Ramsey from his spot upfield into one of the central midfield
positions.
The riskiness of that decision depends in large part on
the health of Arsenal’s two first-choice center backs. At last report,
Per Mertesacker remained ill, and Laurent Koscielny faced a fitness test
on his back. Some accounts suggest that Koscielny trained with the
first team on Friday and should replace Calum Chambers in Arsenal’s
lineup at Newcastle.
Would that provide enough stability for Wenger to break up the central midfield pair of Francis Coquelin and Santi Cazorla?
Or,
perhaps more to the point, does Mertesacker’s continued absence dictate
the retention of Cazorla to aid Arsenal’s transition from defense to
attack? Without Mertesacker’s clever passing, Arsenal probably need
Cazorla’s trickery to move quickly upfield.
But Cazorla doesn’t
offer the threat on goal that Ramsey does from the center of midfield.
Cazorla’s two shots on goal in six attempts in the first three matches
are in line with the team’s ineffective rate thus far.
Whatever
players Wenger sends out early Saturday, bucking the trend and
(re)discovering the knack in front of goal will be the charge. Another
scoreless display will intensify the questions.
Arsenal's scoreless draw with Liverpool was as intriguing and engaging
a nil-nil result as you are likely to see. Each side enjoyed periods of
dominance and came close to scoring the decisive goal. There was an
unexpected--and unwelcome--lineup change; the action was both end-to-end
and tight; the tactics from Liverpool's supposedly progressive manager
were retrograde.
So plenty to hold the interest, just not a result to get excited about.
Here are three things we learned from the encounter.
Peter Cech is actually as advertised
After two uncomfortable performances in his first two starts for Arsenal, marquee signing Petr Cech showed his bona fides
against Liverpool. He took a certain goal off the feet of Liverpool
front man Christian Benteke, pouncing at the absolute last second, and
he stretched every inch of his frame and wingspan to tip Philippe
Coutinho's curling effort off the post. Those two saves bailed out a
shaky first-half defense and avoided a disastrous result.
Cech
also conducted the less eye-catching work flawlessly. He commanded his
penalty area, punching or claiming crosses intended for Benteke. Like
Wojciech Szczesny in the FA Cup Final, Cech did a lot to negate
Benteke's aerial threat.
Cech's positioning was excellent as well,
so several threatening shots went right at him. His success kicking
away Roberto Firmino's first-half effort owed to perfect positioning and
quick feet.
This might have been more activity than Cech has been accustomed to--as 7AM Kickoff noted in his "By the Numbers"
piece for Arseblog, Cech hadn't made this many saves in a club match
since May 2013. But Arsenal's new number one showed he is the
difference-maker many portrayed him as when Arsenal acquired him.
Arsenal feels Mertesacker's absence more than Koscielny's
Most
observers consider Laurent Koscielny the more indispensable of
Arsenal's two center backs. A few even dubbed him Arsenal's player of
the season in 2014-15 for his quickness, timely interventions, and
control of opposition strikers.
His partner, the frequently
derided Per Mertesacker, seems more vital to the team, though. For one
thing, Koscielny has an able replacement in Gabriel, who showed on
Monday that he possesses quickness and guile to rival Koscielny's.
Gabriel also cottoned to Benteke's approach early on and limited his
threat to the Arsenal goal in the second half.
Another reason that
Mertesacker is essential is that his deputy, Calum Chambers, hasn't yet
developed the calm or comfort with quick decisions that the big German
brings. Although the 20-year-old was not caught out of position much,
save his one unwise foray forward, Chambers's poor decisions with the
ball brought on danger.
It's a huge contrast with Mertesacker.
Arsenal's on-pitch captain and World Cup winner not only reduces the
danger, he initiates many Arsenal attacks with his incisive passing.
Without him, Arsenal struggles to move from defense to attack. In
particular, it's hard to use deep-lying midfielder Francis Coquelin as a
decoy to drag opposition midfielders out of position. This means more
narrow passing lanes from Arsenal's defenders to their attacking
teammates.
The consequence is more predictable passes, which
Liverpool were primed to pressure. More responsibility and Liverpool
attention fell on Santi Cazorla, and Arsenal saw the deception and speed
of its transitions reduced. Mertesacker makes a critical contribution
to this aspect of Arsenal's play, important to be effective at the
Premier League level.
Alexis needs Ramsey's vertical threat
Debate
has swirled around Aaron Ramsey's position on the right side of the
Arsenal attack. The argument is that he doesn't offer the speedy, wide
threat to stretch the opposition defense. Instead, he offers more of a
horizontal threat, roaming from right to left between the opponent's
midfield and defense.
Ramsey's activity was effective against
Liverpool, as it had been against Crystal Palace: He generated four
chances and made eight ball recoveries and four tackles.
The
issue, though, is that Ramsey's movement from right to left reduces
Alexis's liberty. First, when he moves toward Alexis, Ramsey brings
defenders with him. And there are already more than a few paying
attention to Alexis. Liverpool, for example, surrounded Arsenal's top
scorer from last season with a fullback, center half, and midfielder, or
with two midfielders and a fullback. This stymied him as he approached
the corners of the penalty area where he's most threatening.
It
also forced Arsenal to beat Liverpool with several short, quick passes
in congested areas. There's little room for error in that approach,
because one of many nearby Liverpool players or a slightly misplaced
pass can foil the move. On the few occasions when Arsenal can find a way
through, the finishing has to be expert. It was not on Monday, just as
it wasn't late last season when Swansea and Sunderland held Arsenal
scoreless.
If Ramsey were running from the center of midfield,
though, he would distract the opposition midfield from its focus on
Alexis and offer an option for Mesut Özil to make a decisive pass
forward. He's also more of a dynamic target for striker Olivier Giroud's
lay-off passes. No doubt manager Arsène Wenger will weigh this need
against defense-minded teams.
Extra time: Officials still haven't grasped the offside rule
Ramsey's
goal was wrongly waved off. Even if it were a borderline case, isn't
the advantage supposed to lie with the attacking player? And if, as
Liverpool manager Brendan Rodgers quipped, "his shirt looked offside,"
it was his shirt sleeve, attached to his arm, not a part of his body
that can trigger the infraction.
Arsenal's July 31 announcement that forward Theo Walcott had signed a
new four-year contract was a positive development in just about every
respect.
As with any club news, particularly involving players and
salaries, enthusiasts and detractors emerged. Some pointed to Walcott's
production since his last pay increase in early 2013 and argued he
didn't deserve a boost. Others said that the deal changed nothing about
Arsenal's attacking needs. A few worried about the implications of
placing Walcott among the club's top earners.
Those aren't idle
considerations, but they're certainly not revelations to Arsenal's
leadership. Weighing those factors against the benefits of this
agreement--and its timing--CEO Ivan Gazidis, manager Arsène Wenger, and
their colleagues concluded that re-signing Walcott on enhanced terms was
in the club's interest.
You can see their logic: A Walcott deal
reduces the risk to team chemistry, it makes a down payment on Walcott's
potential, and it fits the wage environment in which the club operates.
Mitigating the risk of chemical reaction
As
the 2015-16 Premier League season approaches, the message throughout
the Arsenal camp has emphasized team chemistry. I explored this
phenomenon--and in modern, elite football it does appear to be one--in "Arsenal's Pre-Season Cohesion."
The most recent expression was Wenger's comment after the win over
Chelsea in Sunday's Community Shield: "Our game is based on
togetherness."
Imagine the threat a protracted contract saga would
pose to this camaraderie. Stories and questions about Walcott's future
would dominate the early season. Although professional athletes are
adept at compartmentalizing such distractions, all the efforts to build
and communicate the team's togetherness would be at risk. Just look at
Jack Wilshere's expression when Walcott was asked about his contract
status after the Emirates Cup win (1:12 of this video). That's not a man who wants to keep hearing about this drama.
Its
persistence could have undone a major component of Arsenal's
competitive advantage for the season ahead, the shared long-term mindset. For that reason, it was wise for Gazidis and Wenger to finalize Walcott's contract before the season starts.
Paying for potential
There
was also wisdom in Arsenal's decision to reward Walcott for his
potential contributions, more than for his production so far. Instead of
making the real error of overpaying for past performance, Arsenal are
placing a high value on the impact Walcott can have in the future.
For
one thing, he's guaranteed to widen the manager's attacking options. As
Wenger observed to the press after the Community Shield,
I
tried to see the options I have through the season. I felt today that I
wanted to use Theo’s pace to go in behind. In the first half he worked
very hard, didn’t get too much service, but he worked very hard. In the
second half when Giroud came on I think he gave us a physical presence
that was needed at that time as well. (Arsenal.com)
Walcott's
teammates have also made note of what he might bring. Aaron Ramsey: "He
is a goalscorer. He has a load of goals for Arsenal, and I think he can
carry that on and, I think, maybe get into the 100 [goal] club this
year." (Arsenal.com) That would take 24 goals, quite a few more than the 10 to 15 Wenger has said the team needs to add this season.
Wenger's
target would, though, be in line with what Walcott's distinctive
combination of speed and goal-scoring has delivered. As I detail in "In Search of More Arsenal Deals,"
Walcott's output from his 32 league starts in 2012-13 and from his
limited action in 2014-15 compares favorably with the numbers of several
strikers currently fancied by Arsenal supporters.
Still, an
average of eight goals and less than six assists over the last five
Premier League campaigns wouldn't justify elevating Walcott to the
club's top echelon of earners. (Stats from OptaSports via whoscored.com.) But that's hardly any of the rationale.
Accounting for the environment
Finally,
we need to understand the agreement in the Premier League's financial
context. Although the wages and contract terms of individual players
remain opaque, there's little question that top players' pay has risen
considerably. In particular, the expenditures on wages among the top six
clubs (Chelsea, Manchester City, Arsenal, Manchester United, Liverpool,
Tottenham) appear to have increased, on average, by five percent per
year since 2011, following several years of double-digit annual surges.
(I've pieced this information together from several sources, including Sporting Intelligence, the Total Sportek blog, and the BBC.)
Reports
of Walcott's new salary range from £110,000 per week (£5.7 million per
year) to £140,000 per week (£7.3 million per year). It's been suggested
the club retains image rights as part of the package, a higher-value
proposition for the club.
In any case, at the top end of the
reported salary range, Walcott would earn about as much as recent
Liverpool acquisition Christian Benteke, Chelsea arrival Radamel Falcao,
and Manchester City's Samir Nasri. At nearer £110,000 per week we'll
find Liverpool's Mario Balotelli, Manchester United's Ashley Young, and
Manchester City's Eden Dzeko. It's not unreasonable to say that Walcott
has delivered more and promises more than any of those attacking
players.
Inflation expectations also make the investment in
Walcott appear sound. If salary growth continues at the recent rate, the
average for top six clubs will increase 20 percent by 2019. Teammates'
and competitors' pay will adjust upward, and Walcott will no longer have
such a high relative standing. By my calculations, a £110,000 weekly
salary in 2019 will look like £88,000 per week in today's pay, while
£140,000 in 2019 equates to today's £112,000.
One last point of
comparison. Liverpool paid £32.5 million to Aston Villa for Benteke,
while Raheem Sterling cost Manchester City £44 to £49 million. By 2019,
Arsenal will have paid Walcott £29 million (£140,000/week over four
years). So its total expenditure will be less than the initial outlay
top-six clubs have made in 2015 to acquire forwards with Premier League
experience; that's even before accounting for their salaries.
This
financial context, the management of risk to team spirit, and the
assessment of future performance make Arsenal's investment in Walcott a
thoughtful, constructive move.
Arsenal's 1-0 victory over Chelsea in Sunday's Community Shield capped a perfect pre-season in fine style.
The
sun shone on Wembley, supporters were in mid-season voice, Alex
Oxlade-Chamberlain delivered a lovely goal, and Chelsea manager José
Mourinho was irritated. In other words, success.
Although we
shouldn't draw any definitive conclusions from the match, we can make
some inferences to guide our thinking in advance of next Sunday's
Premier League opener against West Ham. Here are three things that stuck
out:
1. This team can adapt to the occasion
Arsenal
showed it knows more than one way to achieve its objectives. As in last
season's watershed victory at Manchester City, the Gunners conceded
much of the possession to accomplished opponents, rather than taking a
more assertive offensive approach. Chelsea had 57 percent possession to
Arsenal's 43 percent. (Stats from Opta via whoscored.com.)
Manager Arsène Wenger praised this tactical move, suggesting in his post-match press conference
that the players made this adjustment. "They were more concerned with
protecting our lead against Chelsea rather than playing attacking
football," he said. "We have to accept that, and I don’t think that’s
giving up your philosophy, it’s a punctual fact that we wanted to win a
game like that. I’m quite proud of that."
It wasn't a physical,
rear-guard defense that suggested a huge gap in quality between the
sides; Arsenal simply controlled the passing lanes with a midfield line
that made the most of the energy of Francis Coquelin and Aaron Ramsey.
The setup started out like the 4-1-4-1 that manager Arsène Wenger had
introduced early in the 2014-15 campaign, then after
Oxlade-Chamberlain's goal it often looked like a 4-4-1-1 with Mesut Özil
just behind Theo Walcott.
The personnel is already flexible, too.
Santi Cazorla occupied the left of the midfield, a position he hadn't
taken up for at least a year, and Ramsey returned to the center of
midfield, his preferred spot but not one where he's regularly featured
since the middle of last season. Top scorer Alexis will eventually
return, and the players will shift again.
Indeed, adaptability --
both in the starting lineups and in the positioning of players in games
-- could be a feature of the season. Wenger has the opportunity to vary
his selections to fit the opposition because the players at his
disposal, in just about every position, are of high quality.
2. This defense looks ready and savvy
Arsenal
conceded just one goal in five pre-season matches, as a variety of
defenders and goalkeepers, not including last season's eventual first
choice David Ospina, shut down several dangerous opponents.
On
Sunday, Chelsea managed two shots on target. They had two other real
opportunities, Ramires's first-half header and Eden Hazard's rushed sky
job in the second half, but Arsenal's efforts rendered Chelsea's offense
largely ineffective. The midfield's work in the passing lanes stymied
Cesc Fabregas, and when Chelsea did reach the spaces just outside the
penalty area, where they were most dangerous last season, Arsenal
crowded the space and blocked any progress.
Longer approaches were
handled by Arsenal center-half Laurent Koscielny. He seemed in top
form, shepherding Chelsea's front men and attending to any danger.
Koscielny made 16 clearances and won four aerial duels, both top figures
on the team.
With Koscielny, his central defensive partner Per
Mertesacker, and goalkeeper Petr Cech, Arsenal have an experienced,
knowledgeable defensive core. That's a strong foundation for a run at
the Premier League title.
3. Arsenal didn't act friendly
This
was an exhibition that Arsenal came to win. From the kickoff, the
Gunners asserted themselves and did not shirk the physical,
psychological, or tactical contests inherent in facing a Mourinho team.
That
willingness became especially evident late in the second half. Wenger's
substitutions were designed to shore up the defense: the more robust
Olivier Giroud for Theo Walcott, deep-lying midfielder Mikel Arteta for
playmaker Özil, and fullback Kieran Gibbs for Oxlade-Chamberlain. All
three made an impact, with Giroud and Gibbs threatening the Chelsea goal
and Arteta throwing himself into challenges, particularly with Chelsea
substitute Radamel Falcao.
Also noteworthy was left back Nacho
Monreal's canny professionalism. Twice in the first half, he got mixed
up with Chelsea's Gary Cahill, once resulting in a bloody nose and then
sending Cahill into teammate Branislav Ivanovic right at the Chelsea
post. Later, Monreal outmaneuvered Falcao (admittedly not a move with a
high degree of difficulty) to draw a foul that eased the pressure, and
he made a late clearance to kill even more time.
Applying this
savvy and effort in a so-called friendly shows how ready this team is
for the season ahead. Given Arsenal's talent, that application can put
Arsenal in position to defeat just about any opponent. In close matches
against top sides, they're required. Add a moment of brilliance, like
Sunday's from Oxlade-Chamberlain, and you've got a recipe for success.
Arsenal's Community Shield meeting with Chelsea on Sunday carries interest but no meaning.
The
English media's reliance on the lazy and hackneyed narrative -- Wenger
and Mourinho square off! -- just shows the insignificance of the Wembley
affair. It's a glorified friendly, the last live-action preparation for
the start of the Premier League campaign the following weekend.
Although
Arsenal supporters would like to see the Gunners continue their
impressive pre-season form, close out their spotless record, and lay
down a marker with the league champions, none of those accomplishments
will have any bearing on the season to come.
Let's not forget that
Arsenal blitzed Manchester City 3-0 in last year's installment, then
won just two of its first eight league matches. By January 1, 2015, it
had compiled the fewest points (33) from its first 20 matches in the 19
years of Wenger's tenure. The year before, Manchester United won the
event and went on to a seventh-place league finish.
So we should draw no conclusions about Arsenal's prospects from Sunday's outcome.
That's
not to say we shouldn't be interested in what transpires, as long as we
keep it in the proper perspective. Any time Arsenal is in action, we
can deepen our understanding of the team and how it plays. Here are some
questions to keep in mind during Sunday's encounter:
1. Will this be a real workout?
It'll
be interesting to see whether Mourinho constructs and instructs his
side to thwart Arsenal's offense. That would be true to form but
counterproductive in this preparatory exhibition match. A cagey affair,
in which neither side gets the chance to stretch its legs, wouldn't
serve the objective of improving physical readiness for the season
ahead.
A free-flowing encounter would contribute to better
fitness; it would also favor Arsenal, provided the Arsenal defense
maintains its discipline. The Gunners' speed of thought, movement, and
passing generally exceeds Chelsea's, so the more open the play, the more
likely Arsenal's advantage.
2. What influence will Petr Cech have?
Arsenal's
headline summer acquisition will face his longtime bosses and teammates
straightaway. Any specific insights he might share about Chelsea's
approach may not determine the outcome of this match; after all, the
managers and the players know each other fairly well.
What will be
interesting to watch is Cech's interactions with Arsenal's defense. If
he provides calm leadership and deals with the threats to his goal in
this high-profile but low-pressure encounter, then he could bring
stability throughout the league campaign. That will make the difference
that Arsenal sought when it acquired him.
3. What clues will we have about the manager's preferred starting XI?
In
the pre-season matches so far, Wenger has varied his selections,
working on the fitness of all the players and experimenting with
combinations. These mixes of players have been intriguing and successful
in the context of the pre-season. The four matches have also
emphasized the substantial depth Arsenal enjoy at just about every
position, even with leading scorer Alexis Sanchez yet to return from
holiday and Danny Welbeck sidelined with injury.
But we still
don't have much of an idea of Wenger's thinking on several personnel
decisions. In particular, how does he balance the contributions of both
Santi Cazorla and Aaron Ramsey, who bring different strengths to the
central midfield role? There have been occasions when they functioned as
a midfield pair, but that required the removal of Francis Coquelin and
his defensive energy and skill. Not the best setup against high-quality
opposition.
Jack Wilshere also has to fit into the puzzle somehow.
He's taken up a more advanced position frequently this pre-season,
following a brief stint on the flanks as last season ended. Wenger may
reveal more of his intentions for Wilshere, and for the first XI
overall, on Sunday. He did send out the same starting lineup in last
year's Community Shield and in the league opener against Crystal Palace
six days later. Then again, several key players -- Olivier Giroud, Per
Mertesacker, and Mesut Özil -- weren't ready.
4. What will happen at center forward?
The
different strengths of Giroud and Theo Walcott allow Wenger some
flexibility in his choice of center forward. Walcott is less tested in
that role against top-level defenders, but his speed could trouble
Chelsea as it has in the past.
Another benefit of a Walcott center
forward run-out would be to shield Giroud from the battering he'd take
from Chelsea's galoots in central defense. The Frenchman will endure
beatings from defenses for 10 months, including physical tests in the
first two weeks of the league season, so limiting his exposure in this
exhibition match makes some sense.
On the other hand, Wenger may
want to prime the chemistry and relationships in attack for the league
campaign, which would point to a Giroud start. A peach of a goal like
the one he scored in the 2014 affair might send him off to a strong
scoring start.
"Might" is the operative word in all these
observations, because the connections between Sunday and the league
campaign are iffy at best. The day could be mildly informative and
enjoyable should Arsenal notch a win over Chelsea, but it signifies
nothing about the team's prospects.